The last thing anyone would want is another cold war, especially when 2012 is not that far away (see Bible Code, Nostradamus, Mayans prophecies). But the only way that could happen is if America's power decreases and Russia's increases, lets examine that, shall we?
Over the last 8 years, America has been too busy "not" fighting Bin Laden in Iraq, "not" fighting Bin Laden in Afghanistan and producing a foreign policy that has been despised by most countries in the world. With the exception of the Georgia battle (which was more like a tickle fight for Russia), Putin has been doing nothing but setting up Russia to be a formidable power once again.
Exhibit A, towards the end of the year 2007 Putin visited Iran and proclaimed that Russia will not help U.S. if it attacked Iran. Putin also set up Azerbaijan's backing of Iran along with a five-nation pact by the Caspian states to ensure that the US will not be able to use the region to stage a military action against Iran. Not to mention the Nuclear Power Plant Russia has been building for Iran over the past decade at the Gulf port of Bushehr.
Exhibit B, because of the United States' failure to present real evidence or reason behind the Iraq war, it opened the door for other powerful countries to attack smaller ones without much resistance. When Russia and Georgia went at it last year, the U.S. had very little to say despite the fact that Georgia is one of America's allies.
Exhibit C, ENERGY. Putin has ordered the complete halt of natural gas supply through Ukraine (which supplied most of Europe) and that illustrated Russia's extraordinary power and influence because that decision left millions of Europeans freezing and begging for gas. One can't help himself but wonder if Russia did demand a political move by those countries, would shutting off their energy be a big motivator, I think so.
Exhibit D, this is the last of the major signs of how powerful and bold Russia is becoming. Just this month Russia announced that it is installing new naval bases in three countries Syria, Libya and Yemen. None of those three countries are U.S. allies or very fond of the West, but naval bases in those countries would provide tremendous strategic advantage to Russia. Yemen would provide the only way from the Arabian Sea (also from Indian Ocean) to the Red Sea (to Mediterranean Sea). A new naval base in Syria would decrease the tremendous strangle hold Israel has of the area and give Syria a top backer.
Former President George W. Bush has weakened this country to an extreme. His two poorly planned, executed and justified wars spread the U.S. army way too thin. His foreign policy has turned away almost every ally away from the United States. His economic policy put the U.S. in an extremely bad shape, so the government has to pool all of its energy towards fixing the economy and nothing else. And his unrelenting, unjustified blind backing of Israel has drawn many countries (mostly Arab countries) to seek counsel with a different power (mainly Russia) and Putin was more than happy to oblige.
Thursday, January 29, 2009
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This was my favorite blog so far. I learned a lot about Russia's strategy.. I didn't know that they are planning to have bases in Yemen, Syria, and Lybia.. Is the U.S ok with that?
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